ITH Poker Forum

[toronexti]

Here is the hand:

Poker Stars $200+$15 No Limit Hold'em Tournament - t50000/t100000 Blinds + t10000 - 8 players
The Official DeucesCracked.com Hand History Converter

CO: t2273136 M = 9.88
BTN: t7897055 M = 34.34
SB: t2056839 M = 8.94
BB: t2374596 M = 10.32
UTG: t834743 M = 3.63
UTG+1: t6139484 M = 26.69
MP1: t3015872 M = 13.11
MP2: t1199749 M = 5.22

Pre Flop: (t230000)
1 fold, UTG+1 raises to t2500000, MP1 raises to t3005872 all in, 5 folds, UTG+1 calls t505872

Flop: (t6241744) 4 T 7 (2 players - 1 is all in)

Turn: (t6241744) A (2 players - 1 is all in)

River: (t6241744) 2 (2 players - 1 is all in)

Final Pot: t6241744
UTG+1 shows J Q (a flush, Queen high)
MP1 shows K A (a pair of Aces)
UTG+1 wins t6241744



Here are my ev calcs:

I gave a calling range of TT+/AQ+ (4.68%), meaning that with 6 players behind him he's getting called 25% of the time. Of the times he gets called he's a 31.6% dog. The average stack size behind him is 3.15mil.

75% of the time everyone folds and he wins 230k
Of the 25% of the time 68.37% he loses 3.15mil
31.63% he wins 3.38mil

so the equation is:

(3.38 x .3163 x .25) - (3.15 * .6837 * .25) + (.75 * .23)

= .267 - .538 + .1725 = -.0985 or an ev of -9,850 chips.

Is that right?

[PauliF]

seriously man
you have been round long enough to know how to use the hand converter...
you are just being lazy
convert it so I can read it without hurting my eyes and I will have a look

[toronexti]

seriously man
you have been round long enough to know how to use the hand converter...
you are just being lazy
convert it so I can read it without hurting my eyes and I will have a look

Sorry pauli. I'm getting too used to dealing with raw HH.

[toronexti]

bump

[janeg]

Code: Select all

Text results appended to pokerstove.txt

356,159,232  games     0.813 secs   438,080,236  games/sec

Board:
Dead: 

   equity    win    tie          pots won    pots tied   
Hand 0:    31.631%     31.23%    00.40%         111220308      1437488.00   { QJs }
Hand 1:    68.369%     67.97%    00.40%         242063948      1437488.00   { TT+, AQs+, AQo+ }



.75(.23) + .25(.3124 x 3.38 - .6797 x 3.15 + .008 x .23)
= 0.1725 + .25(1.0559 - 2.1411 + 0.00184)
= 0.1725 - 0.27084
= -0.09834 or -9,834 in chips

Looks right.