ITH Poker Forum

[mathfreak]

Good afternoon all.

First post on this forum, so I would like to start by saying what a great book.

I am only playing microstakes, 0.05/0.10, I moved upto 0.10/0.20 and ran really hot. After this I hit my downswing. If there any flaws to my thinking?


Now I have so far played six consecutive losing seession, where I beleive the odds are 120:1. This happens to the best of players and is a completely normal. Overall I only win around 60% of my sessions - and have just hit a cluster in the 40% range.

Overall I have played 29k hands, with an overall winrate of 2.99BB/100
My stats are: VPIP 26.4/PFR 21.2/3bet 10.4/agg 2.38/WTSD 39.1/W$SD 50.9

Last Year, I was being coached by a winning player, during this time I play a total of 22K hands with an overall winrate 3.49BB/100
My stats were 26.1/20.8/10.2/2.43/38.6/51.1

This year I have played 7K hands, with a winrate of 1.43BB/100
my stats were 27.4/22.7/10.7/2.22/41/50.3

My downswing so far totals 223BB over 2170 hands(small sample size). I have moved backdown as I am not bankrolled for the higher limit any more, I havent made any big changes to my game, only opening ranges and not being so passive with 2nd pair. My stats are pretty consistant which just goes to show this is only a natural short term flucautation of bad luck, If i keep my current playing style I will be out of the downswing in the long term.

Is this a good way to think about my downswing. I feel this explains and demostraights that it is only a short term result . . . . . .

But this is still bugging me, can somebody offer some insights to any bad points in my thinking?

Thanks in advance