ITH Poker Forum

[Suited_Jock]

Full Tilt Poker Game #22410307413: $10,500 Guarantee (172875720), Table 38 - 500/1000 Ante 125 - No Limit Hold'em - 10:12:34 ET - 2010/07/18
Seat 1: CorkSnorkel (30,446)
Seat 2: astrit (32,700)
Seat 3: danxx7 (8,743)
Seat 4: busmush (35,719)
Seat 5: flxcha (15,574)
Seat 6: Max_Udav (9,375)
Seat 7: matt7184 (22,282)
Seat 8: Bubus21 (36,287)
CorkSnorkel antes 125
astrit antes 125
danxx7 antes 125
busmush antes 125
flxcha antes 125
Max_Udav antes 125
matt7184 antes 125
Bubus21 antes 125
Bubus21 posts the small blind of 500
CorkSnorkel posts the big blind of 1,000
The button is in seat #7
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to matt7184 [6d 8d]
astrit calls 1,000
danxx7 folds
busmush folds
flxcha folds
Max_Udav folds
matt7184 calls 1,000
Bubus21 calls 500
CorkSnorkel checks
*** FLOP *** [7c 3d 5d]
Bubus21 checks
CorkSnorkel checks
astrit bets 5,000
matt7184 calls 5,000
Bubus21 folds
CorkSnorkel folds
*** TURN *** [7c 3d 5d] [Jh]
astrit bets 15,000



Hero does what?

Villian is atrocious.. he has exactly two cards at this point with a very wide range..

Best case scenario I have 15 clean outs... 9 flush cards 3 4's and 3'9s I need to call 15k to win a $45k pot and put myself up amongst the chip leaders.. is this a call or a fold.. I need what 33% to call profitably and have about 30% is this right?

Firstly is my maths right? I was doing it with using Pstove etc just out my head and 2ndly is a fold best?

[nsidestrate]

Your math looks right. If you believe he will pay off on the river, it would be a fairly clear call.

Personally, I'd raise flop.

[Suited_Jock]

there is no river decision i have $16k left facing his bet.

[the_hawk]

Either of:

1. Fold pre
2. Ship flop

are fine. Given the limp, you gotta push the go button on a dreamy flop. As played you can't fold now surely.

[Radford]

Pretty easy decision for me. The bubble has no influence in this hand. You have a ton of outs. Just stick everything in on the flop.

This is why i hate flatting on the flop. If you don't hit on the turn and villian fires out another bet, you've just made life difficult for yourself with a tough decision.

[timchuk]

Agree. I like to make the decision on the flop here. It's a monster drawing hand and you don't want to face a difficult turn decision.

Pretty easy decision for me. The bubble has no influence in this hand. You have a ton of outs. Just stick everything in on the flop.

This is why i hate flatting on the flop. If you don't hit on the turn and villian fires out another bet, you've just made life difficult for yourself with a tough decision.