ITH Poker Forum

[kyokusanagi]

Hi everyone,
reviewing my hand history on mtts i found this hand played 2 months ago and is very though spot in my opinion
Setup buy in 55 euros level medium low
blinds 40 80
9 players

[SB] Hero (3955)
[b][BB ]X (4990)
[1] Y (5215) fold
[2]Z (3150) fold
[3] A (4265) fold
[4] B (16400) calls 80
[5]C (3530) fold
[6] villain (3370) cutoff calls 80
[b][But] D (4140) fold

kyo88 Initial Pot : 120
i decide obv to raise for value to 400 hoping to take 1 call and i m pretty sure B will call me and i ll play for stacks, both B and villain are on the loose passive side, strangely B folds and villain calls i think his range is pretty wide any pp, any 2 broadway,ace rag, any 2 suited 1 gapper maybe 2....

Flop Pot: 960
i think he can have hit this flop with qj qk qt maybe q9 a flush draw or a middle bottom pair , Pot: 960, i decide to bet 620 with the intention to go all in on any non diamond turn, if he raises all in i am not happy but i have to call even if i think he has often a set , i think he is not the kind of player that semibluff, anyway he calls ,the pot is 2200 and the turn is that is probably the worst possible card in the deck , i check and he checks behind, river is i check and he fires1100 with 1000 behind that screams of value, i think and fold.I am pretty sure is a good fold because in my opinion he has at least Kq here but very probably a flush....the question is could have i done something better before?I think for example to go all in directly on the flop he has 3 pot left and i think that he always calls with a queen or a flush draw, so isnt terrible....or maybe a blocking bet on the river but i dont like that beacuse if my opponent raises i wiuld be forced to fold and i dont think he calls with worst hands after the falls....

[nsidestrate]

I don't think you can play the flop much differently. You could go with a more or less pot-sized bet, but I prefer the size you used. You can't shove for 3,500 into a 900 chip pot.

I'm also not a huge fan of the blocking bet here against a thinking opponent. Furthermore, he only bet half pot -- what kind of blocking bet are you considering, like 700 into 2100?

However, I'm toying with the idea that you should call the river. He's giving you 3:1 and you look like you've given up. He could very easily be doing this with the naked or he might be betting a hand like KJ or QJ for value. I agree that he is often taking you for value with the flush, but you only need to be good 33% of the time here and I think its pretty close. My instinct is that you are best somewhere right around the odds he is laying.

[PauliF]

dont you only need to be good 25% of the time here? or am I missing something?

[nsidestrate]

dont you only need to be good 25% of the time here? or am I missing something?

Haha. Of course. I shouldn't answer badly formatted posts when I'm tired. That makes it even more of a call. Surely its a call at 25%

[chrisjp]

You have better than TPTK, and you are getting 3-1, and the turn was checked through. So you have to call IMO. The stack to pot ratio was only a bit more than 3-1 on the flop, so it's a call. You won't win half the time, I know, but one reason to check the turn is to snap off bluffs. LIke nside said there are hands where he has the . You look weak, and a scare card came on the river.

Chris