ITH Poker Forum

[mchilger]

The Math of Hold'em by Collin Moshman and Douglas Zare - late May release. Now available in our store in both print and e-book format.

For a formatted TOC, book description, and preorders: http://pokerbooks.internettexasholdem.c ... -of-holdem

Introduction
Part One: The Fundamentals
Introduction
Pot Odds
Expected Value
Expected Value in Poker
Relative Expected Value
Definition of +EV
Drilling Down
Conclusion
Effective Stack Depth
Counting Hand Combinations
Basic Probabilities
Pre-flop
Ranges
Flop
Hitting the Flop
Dangerous Ranks
River
Outs to Percentages
2-to-4 Rule
Backdoor Draws and Redraws
Winning without Improving
Percentages to odds
Calling Decisions Based on Outs, Odds, and Percentages
Implied Odds
Reverse Implied Odds
Hot and Cold Equity
Pre-flop Match-Ups
Ranges
Re-steals
Post-flop
Domination
Overpairs
Draws
Overcards
Sets
Miscellaneous Examples
Post-flop Equity vs. Ranges
Post-flop Equity Against Random Hands
Other Factors
Conditional Probability and Bayes’ Theorem
Sklansky Dollar Accounting
Traps
Part Two: Advanced Expected Value
Introduction
Equity Against a Pre-flop Range
Equity Against a Post-flop Range
Making the Fold or Call Decision
EV of Value Bets and Bluffs
Determining the EV of a Semibluff All-in
Pre-flop
Showing an Immediate Profit
Later Profit
Metagame Math
Split-Pot Math
More Expected Value Examples
Common Mistakes
Using a Bad Baseline
The Sunk-Cost Fallacy
Philosophy
Part Three: Game Theory
Introduction
Rock-Paper-Scissors (Roshambo)
Nash Equilibrium
Note of Caution
Sequential Rock-Paper-Scissors
The Game of Chicken
Sequential Chicken
The Bluffing Game
Basic Bluffing Game
Drilling Down
Deviations
Mixed Strategies in Models, but Pure Strategies in Poker
Bettor Strength
Bet Size
Bluffing in No-Limit
Caller Strength
Showdown Value
Value Bluffs
Bluffing Two Streets
Choosing a Bet Size
Bluffing Three Streets
Complications
Conclusion
Part Four: Tournaments
Introduction
Blind Levels
High Blinds
Medium Blinds
Low Blinds
Adjusting to Future Blind Increases
Re-stealing
Tournament Equity
Independent Chip Model (ICM)
Sit-and-go Tournaments
Calling Pushes/Bubble Math
Converting Chips to Cash Heads Up
Adjusting for the Antes
Effective Big Binds
Heads-Up Push/Fold Strategies
Zare’s Golden Rule
Satellites
Part Five: Statistics and Variance
Introduction
Standard Deviation
Standard Deviations in Poker
Central Limit Theorem
The Long Run
How Rapidly do Statistics Converge?
Downswings
Looking Backwards
Downswing Formulas
Bankroll Management
For Winning Players Only
Goals
Psychology
Kelly Criterion
The Key Bankroll Formula
Applying the Key Formula
Instantaneous Risk of Ruin
Moving Up
Stages
Calculations
Splitting Tables across Stakes
Multitabling
Flawed Bankroll Management Ideas
Fixed Number of Buy-ins
Stop-Losses
Anecdotal Downswings
Part Six: Crucial Hold’em Mathematical Concepts
Introduction
Beating the Rake
Cash Games
Sets
What Can Go Wrong?
Not Getting to See a Flop
Behind with Flopped Set
Not Getting Paid Off
Being Outdrawn
Ideal Conditions
Favorable Conditions
The 5-10 Rule
Curtis vs. Farha Revisited
Set-Mining Tips
Combating Set-Miners
Hit-to-Win Math
When Fit-or-Fold is Correct
Logic
Math versus Instincts
The Free Card Play
Bet-Sizing
Part Seven: Software
Introduction
Poker Equity Calculators
Hold’em Manager (HEM)
Heads-Up Display
Results Tracking
Database Analysis
Finding Leaks using Software
Extreme or Happy Medium
Aggregated Statistics
Averages vs. Totals
Linked Categories
Linked Statistics
Blinds
Social Statistics
Cardrunners EV
ICM Explorer
SitNGoWizard
Note of Caution
Nash Equilibrium Calculator
Sharkscope
Appendix- Hand Rankings

[PauliF]

drooooooooooooooooooooooool

[chrisjp]

Curtis v. Farha revisited. lol. I remember poor Anthony Curtis, who really doesn't play much, getting the heave ho with the Rockets early. The Main Event can be so cruel. Farha is, well, he's Sammy.

Can't wait for this one...

Chris

[mchilger]

This didn't exactly format like I wanted but you get the idea. When we put the book up on the site, we'll show fancy cover and a better formatted TOC.

Matthew

[Damien]

OMG

So much content. I see so many topics here that I would love to read up on (more than I have). Looks freakin' awesome!

[poker_Elmo]

Not that anyone here needs any convincing to buy this book, but the game theory chapter is outstanding.

I teach a course on the subject, and will be putting this book on the syllabus as an optional reading for students.

[Doc T River]

I just wish this was one book I could get my hot little hands on while in Vegas.

[pltrgyst]

How would you compare this book to The Mathematics of Poker, by Chen and Ankenman? Thanks!

[mchilger]

PLTR, it is a much easier read than the Mathematics of Poker. Despite the background of the authors (they both have math degrees from Caltech), the math is accessible for most players. It is much more hands-on with lots of examples rather than a primarily theoretical approach.

Matthew

[chrisjp]

How would you compare this book to The Mathematics of Poker, by Chen and Ankenman? Thanks!

I also am a Caltech grad, but the one thing that bugged me about Chen's book was that it reminded me too much of my Math classes there. Ugh! I was not a Math major. Don't get me wrong, I'm very much math oriented and look forward to seeing Moshman's and Zare's especially if it is presented in a more user friendly format.

Chris

[kinnipak]

I just placed my order....Can't wait! THX Matthew!!

[mchilger]

For a formatted TOC, book description, and cover,

http://pokerbooks.internettexasholdem.c ... -of-holdem

Matthew

[Fumseck]

On my wishlist at Amazon. When it gets out I will order it plus a few other books to get free shipping.

Thanks for the update Matthew.